Demand of Fuel Additives is projected to increase by 22 percent annually
US demand to reach $1.2 billion in 2012
Demand for specialty fuel additives in the US is forecast to increase 2.2 percent annually to $1.2 billion in 2012, with volume demand exceeding 750 million pounds. Gasoline detergents have been one of the most dynamic segments of the industry over the past decade and will continue to offer opportunities, especially for better performing products. Diesel additives are expected to see the fastest growth in volume terms, albeit from a relatively small base, because of the expanding use of ultra low sulfur diesel as well as regulations requiring the use of biodiesel.
Deposit control agents comprise over half of specialty additives market
Deposit control agent demand -- the largest sector of the specialty additive market -- will continue to offer the best opportunities among major products. After declining in the mid 1990s, demand for gasoline detergents and dispersants rebounded sharply in recent years as several major auto companies implemented their own gasoline rating system. This system, called "Top Tier," requires higher levels of detergent than do government standards. However, decreasing demand for premium grades of gasoline will limit gains to some degree. Increasing use of higher-value deposit control agents will continue to support value growth in these products. For example, the use of highly reactive polyisobutylene (HR-PIB) is growing relative to that of conventional polyisobutylene. HR-PIB commands a much higher price than conventional PIB, but it also offers superior performance.
Diesel fuel to be fastest growing additive market
Cold flow and lubricity improvers for diesel fuel are expected to show above average growth in volume through 2012. Federal requirements have reduced the levels of sulfur allowable in diesel fuel. As a result, increased loadings of lubricity improvers are necessary to make up for the naturally lubricating properties of sulfur. In addition, the federal Renewable Fuel Standards (which were expanded in 2007) and state renewable fuel requirements are leading to a rise in the use of biodiesel. Biodiesel, which has poorer cold flow properties than conventional diesel, will spur demand for these additives in the upper Midwest and Northeast in the winter months.
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Demand of Fuel Additives is projected to increase by 22 percent annually
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