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Mutant Bird Flu Virus May Not Be as Nasty as Feared

Jack da Silva, a genetics lecturer from the University of Adelaide in South Australia has given a different view about what would happen if the bird flu virus mutated into a form that could be transmitted easily between humans.



In an article written for the Adelaide Advertiser he says The science of natural selection tells us that viruses, like the bird flu, evolve to become less deadly.



He contends that the bird flu, if it ever mutates to spread between humans, should quickly evolve to produce milder, more typical flu symptoms.



The history of other viruses supports this view, Mr da Siva says.



Do you remember the SARS and Ebola viruses These deadly viruses that were a threat to our civilisation disappeared from the headlines because they didn'st live up to the reported fears. Both are spread easily between humans.



The Spanish Flu of 1918 killed so many people because it coincided with World War I. Soldiers, because they were crowded into cold, wet and muddy trenches, spread the flu to each other easily. Sick soldiers were then transported to overcrowded hospitals. However, once the 1918 flu spread to the general population, it evolved to become less virulent.



So what is his answer to the experts telling us that a deadly pandemic is just a matter of time That when the virus mutates and starts spreading between humans we are done for



Mr da Silva says If this happens the virus would either quickly kill itself off or evolve into a form that is not deadly. Unfortunately some people would die in the process, but a deadly pandemic anything like the 1918 Spanish Flu is very unlikely.



For more information about the bird flu and the likelihood of a bird flu pandemic go to:

http://preventbirdflu.50webs.com/pandemic.htm

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