Leading online Sportsbook, PinnacleSports.com (http://www.PinnacleSports.com) prices Team Totals at -108 (wager $108 to win $100). Though a significant saving, generally there isn't enough action for books to deal the line as sharp as for Totals or Runlines, and even PinnacleSports.com only offer $2,000 limits.
However, as Team Totals are closer to a main betting line than they are to a proposition bet, they aren't a true main line. With odds of -115 (1.87) it is tough to win, but far from
impossible. The key is to play at a good number but also knowing that;
- One can give this line a lot more attention than the book probably is
- Many books and players don't understand what team Totals are worth
Common Mistake In Calculating Team Totals
The instinctual perception of Team Totals is that they should add up to the Total for the game, but this is incorrect. If both teams will score 5 or more runs exactly half the time,
meaning both teams have a fair Team Total of 4.5, the game could be safely bet to go over 9.5 at even money even though the Team Totals only add up to 9. That's how runs are distributed.
It's possible to score 24 runs in a game, but it's impossible to score less than 0.
Over or Under
If the two numbers add up to the Total or higher, it's safe to pay scary looking juice to go under the Team Totals. If they add up to a half run less than the Total, it's usually all
right to go under as long as the combined juice is small. If you actively like the under that makes these plays that much easier, and with experience a player can learn to spot which line
is in error.
Going Over is harder, and there are many books where it is effectively impossible to beat the Over because
- squares tend to go over not realizing that the numbers don't add up the natural way,
- squares often bet with an unfounded optimism on what they'd like to see happen i.e. plenty of runs, and not what is most probable.
PinnacleSports.com (http://www.PinnacleSports.com) can't be sure to have the best of it, especially against sharps, so often we have to move the line and offer what we think is likely to
be value.
While the under is more likely to offer value - especially if not playing at PinnacleSports.com (